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Model for disease susceptibility

 

For a disease of interest, denote the phenotype vector of the sib-pair by the vector , where the 's are indicators for the affectedness status (phenotype) of the sibs:

For sib-pairs, there are three phenotype patterns, corresponding to the number of affected sibs.

  
Table 5: Sib-pair phenotype vectors.

In our general model, we consider L unlinked autosomal DS loci, , where has alleles, , . We define the multilocus penetrance of a genotype at the L DS loci to be the conditional probability of affectedness given the multilocus genotype at the L DS loci, i.e.

where , , and

By distinguishing between maternally and paternally inherited alleles, this definition allows the possibility of parental imprinting, i.e. different paternal and maternal contributions to disease susceptibility, as observed with Prader-Willi and Angelman syndromes (Lalande [19], Niikawa [24]). The involvement of imprinting was also suggested in the aetiology of atopy (Moffatt et al. [22]), IDDM and bipolar affective disorder (Lalande [19]).

In order to derive conditional IBD probabilities, we make the following assumption about the dependence structure of genotypes and phenotypes within a family:

Assumption G1. Within a family, the phenotype of a particular sib is conditionally independent of the phenotypes and genotypes of his siblings, given his multilocus genotype at . That is, for a sib-pair

where and denote the phenotype and multilocus genotype of the ith sib, respectively. This assumption rules out environmental covariance in the sib phenotypes, but without it, it is very hard to characterize the IBD probabilities.



Simon Cawley
Tue May 26 19:30:26 PDT 1998