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Review of Markov chain

 

We consider a discrete time finite-state Markov chain with stationary transition probabilities . Let denote the matrix of transition probabilities. The transition probabilities between and are noted and the transition matrix .

We need to introduce a few properties of the states of a Markov chain. A state i is said to be aperiodic if . A recurrent state is a state to which the chain returns with probability 1. A state which is not recurrent is called a transient state. In fact, state i is recurrent if , and transient if . Recurrent, aperiodic states are called ergodic (An extra condition for ergodicity is that the expected recurrence time be finite. This is always satisfied for recurrent states in a finite state chain).

A state j can be reached from a state i if and only if there exists . If state j can be reached from state i and state i can be reached from state j, then states i and j communicate. A Markov chain is said to be irreducible if all its states communicate, i.e. . An irreducible Markov chain with ergodic states is called ergodic. We are now ready to state the following theorem:

A special case of ergodic chain is a chain satisfying the reversibility condition called detailed balance: There exists such that for all i and , we have

To see that in this case, we just sum over j:

since .

The validity of the MCMC estimates rests on another important result: the ergodic theorem.



Simon Cawley
Wed Apr 22 19:50:08 PDT 1998